HomeMy Public PortalAbout2018 1st Quarter ReportPerformance
Review
Metropolitan St. Louis Sewer
District Pension Plan
1st Quarter 2018
Pavilion Advisory Group Inc.
227 W. Monroe Street, Suite 2020
Chicago, IL 60606
Phone: 312-798-3200
Fax: 312-902-1984
www.pavilioncorp.com
1 Capital Markets Review 1
2 Performance Summary 12
3 Asset Class Diversification 31
4 Manager Evaluation 37
5 Calendar Year Performance 65
6 Appendix 67
Table of Contents
Capital Markets Review
1
Capital Markets Review
Summary
As of March 31, 2018
-0.9
-0.8
-0.1
-1.5
-0.9
1.4
0.7
1.4
-1.5
1.5
-0.9
0.3
-6.7
-0.4
-6.2
0.7
0.6
15.0
14.0
11.8
14.8
21.3
24.9
9.8
7.0
1.2
4.0
3.7
1.1
-1.1
3.7
-1.4
3.6
2.4
-10 -5 0 5 10 15 20 25 30
MSCI Global ACWI IMI
S&P 500
Russell 2000
MSCI EAFE
S&P Dev ex U.S. SC
MSCI EMF
HFRI Equity Hedged*
BBG Barclays Global Agg.
BBG Barclays U.S. Agg.
WGBI ex-U.S. Hedged
BofAML High Yield Cons.
91-Day T-Bills
NAREIT
Bloomberg Commodity
DJ Brookfield Global Infra.
HFRI FoF:Cons.*
CPI
Performance: Past Quarter and Year (%)
Past Quarter Past 12 Months
Fixed Income (Bonds)Equities (Stocks)AlternativesExpanding uncertainty
Increased uncertainty propelled equity market volatility higher late in January and markets
remained choppy through quarter end.The jump felt particularly pronounced as the S&P
500 Index experienced 23 trading days with a greater than 1%move in the first quarter
compared to 2017’s 8 trading days during the entire year.The equity market’s volatility
spike,however, had limited spill over into other asset classes,suggesting issues are not
systemic.
At the center of the uncertainty was political rhetoric, particularly trade policy.The tariffs
proposed initially were unlikely to derail economic growth, but investors reacted to fears of
a potential trade war and significant global supply chain disruptions.Technology
companies were in the spotlight late in the quarter, as Facebook, Amazon, and Tesla,to
name a few,faced challenges that could lead to regulation.
Economic growth is intact,supported by the global recovery and fiscal stimulus
domestically.Economic success is powering equity earnings with the S&P 500 Index
posting double digit earnings growth in 2017,and the trend is expected to continue in the
first quarter and 2018 per FactSet.One driver of this growth is healthy consumer balance
sheets and sentiment,as debt to income levels remain low.
Core inflation is approaching targets in most developed markets,allowing monetary policy
makers to gradually reduce accommodation.Central bank guidance did not change
materially in the quarter,and January’s spike in rates reflected an alignment of markets and
policymakers,rather than a significant change in policy.Consistent with these
expectations,the Federal Open Market Committee (“FOMC”) raised rates 25 basis points
in March with little market disruption.
For the fifth consecutive quarter,the U.S.yield curve flattened, and rising rates in January
weighted heavily on quarterly returns within fixed income.Additionally,credit spreads
generally widened,reflecting the increased uncertainty in the economic landscape and
weighing on performance relative to similar duration Treasuries.Outside the U.S.,local
emerging debt benefitted from a weakening U.S.dollar.
Emerging markets performance again represented a bright spot for equities.Also
maintaining 2017’s trend,the Growth styles outperformed the Value style even with
technology stocks performing poorly in March,amid headline shocks.While not immune
to the whipsaw market of the first quarter,small capitalization stocks performed better as
trade policy was anticipated to have a lesser effect due to lower foreign revenues.
The announcement of steel and aluminum tariffs in February hit commodity prices. Tariff
escalations drew more sub-groups into the fray,particularly U.S.agriculture and livestock.
Income-oriented strategies,like infrastructure,were hurt by a rising, flattening yield curve.
*HFRI data are subject to revision.
It is not possible to invest directly in an index.
Source: FactSet & Bloomberg
2
0
5
10
15
20
25
0
20
40
60
80
100
Apr-98Apr-99Apr-00Apr-01Apr-02Apr-03Apr-04Apr-05Apr-06Apr-07Apr-08Apr-09Apr-10Apr-11Apr-12Apr-13Apr-14Apr-15Apr-16Apr-17HY spreadVIX levelCredit spreads lag volatility spike
VIX BofA HY OA Spread
87 74 62
87 99 105 111 119 119 119
133
158 174
40
60
80
100
120
140
160
180
200
CY2007CY2008CY2009CY2010CY2011CY2012CY2013CY2014CY2015CY2016CY2017CY2018CY2019Actual Estimates
Capital Markets Review
Asset Class Outlook
As of March 31, 2018
Source: FactSet as of April 10, 2018
Equities
Equity markets experienced their first negative quarter since 2015.Although returns were only
slightly negative,there was a dramatic rise in volatility.The increase,while stark,moved volatility
closer to long-run average levels from near record low levels during 2017.The shift in volatility
reflects the increasing uncertainty surrounding Federal Reserve policy (will they move faster or
slower?),the prospects for rising inflation,as well as evolving trade conflicts.Despite these
challenges,tailwinds remain.Above trend growth,easy financial conditions,strong earnings growth,
record levels of stock buy-backs (over $800 billion estimated)and fiscal stimulus in the form of tax
cuts should provide an environment in which equity markets can provide positive though more
volatile performance.And while emerging markets continue to enjoy strong growth,environments are
a bit more challenging in ex-U.S.developed markets.The U.K.faces weaker growth and increasing
Brexit uncertainty while the E.U.deals with the consequences of significant currency appreciation.
And,while various valuation metrics may make U.S.equities appear expensive to foreign equities,a
large portion of this differential can be explained by differences in earnings growth and sector
weights (lower exposure to financials and industrials in the U.S.and higher technology exposure).
Adjusting for these differences,valuations appear more symmetric.
Fixed Income
With the exception of short-term assets such as Treasury Bills,fixed income markets posted negative
returns for the quarter,partly reflecting policy makers continued moves to normalizing interest rates.
Leading this process has been the Federal Reserve,which nudged rates up another 25 basis points
during the quarter,maintaining the commitment to a gradual process.Quarterly projections that
Federal Reserve officials provided suggest that as few as two more rate hikes may be necessary this
year,with the process ending late in 2019 at a fed funds rate of 3%.Based upon forward markets,
market participants anticipate a slightly more gradual pace of rate increases,anticipating a terminal
10-year Treasury rate of about 3%.With 10-year yields currently at about 2.8%,most of the pain
from rate increases may be behind us.Credit markets,however,may have room to weaken.Credit
spreads typically mimic moves in implied volatility in the equity markets as both reflect the level of
uncertainty of future cash-flows.While credit spreads widened during the quarter,the move was
significantly less than implied by recent equity market moves.Credit markets may struggle as spreads
play catch-up to the increase in equity market volatility
Real Assets
Core inflation remains subdued;however,it is gradually increasing towards the Federal Reserve’s 2%
target.While inflation is likely to rise over the course of the next few quarters,it continues to face
headwinds in the form of demographics,technological innovation,as well as globalization.While any
material deterioration in trade arrangements would put upward pressure on inflation,those risks
remain a considerable distance in the future.Although these conditions have created a difficult
environment for real assets,we maintain our view that global listed infrastructure likely provides a
diversifying income stream with a slightly lower volatility profile than commodities.We maintain a
cautious view on REITs,due to historical correlations with long duration fixed income.
S&P 500 Calendar Year Bottom-Up EPS Actuals & Estimates
Source: Federal Reserve FRED Data
Source: Federal Reserve FRED Data
0.0
0.5
1.0
1.5
2.0
2.5
Apr-16Jul-16Oct-16Jan-17Apr-17Jul-17Oct-17Jan-18Percent Change YOY (SA)Inflation
Core PCE Core CPI FOMC Target
3
50
100
150
200
250
300
350
400
450
2-Oct-1716-Oct-1730-Oct-1713-Nov-1727-Nov-1711-Dec-1725-Dec-178-Jan-1822-Jan-185-Feb-1819-Feb-185-Mar-1819-Mar-182-Apr-18Index ValueEquity volatility the outlier
Equities Treasury rates Oil Currencies
Capital Markets Review
Key Market Risks
As of March 31, 2018
Source: Bloomberg, FactSet, Recession Alert, & Pavilion Analysis
Cyclical risks appear benign while policy and trade tensions grow
Can the Fed thread the needle?Despite below target inflation and subdued wage growth,
the Federal Reserve (“Fed”)has been raising rates steadily for over a year.With inflation
still low but rising and wage growth subdued,the question is whether the Fed is moving too
quickly or too slowly?Will the Fed allow inflation to run a bit above target to spur wage
growth or will they treat the target as a ceiling?Signs of rising wage growth contributed to
the initial uptick in volatility during the quarter as investors anticipated a more aggressive
Fed policy response.While those fears appear to have dissipated,financial conditions have
begun to tighten in the last quarter and may cease being a tailwind by year end.
Will higher equity volatility infect other asset classes?While equity market volatility
spiked during the month,this spike was not reflected in other asset classes.While equity
volatility is more of a coincident indicator than a leading indicator,synchronized increases
in volatility have been better indicators of evolving stresses.All indications currently
suggest that increased volatility is being driven largely by technical factors within equity
markets.Careful monitoring of cross-asset volatilities will be important over the coming
months.
Prospective tariffs and trade conflicts:Recent trade tensions are reminiscent of the 2016
Brexit vote.While markets priced in immediate dire consequences,the impact on
fundamentals remains further down the road.Similarly,the impact on near term growth
from the trade conflicts appears to be modest.The real threat from an escalation in these
conflicts is future inflationary pressures and reduced corporate margins as complex value
chains are disrupted.The challenge for markets,and investors,will be differentiating
between the real and apparent consequences of any conflict.
Fixed Income
Equities
FinancialStressesValuationsCyclicalCurrent Risk Levels
Source:Federal Reserve FRED Data
Source: Bloomberg
Values indexed to 10/2/2017
Equities: VIX Index; Treasury Rates: Move Index; Oil: OVX Index; and Currencies: FXVIX Index
-1.50
-1.00
-0.50
0.00
0.50
1.00
1.50
2.00
2.50
3.00
Mar-88Mar-90Mar-92Mar-94Mar-96Mar-98Mar-00Mar-02Mar-04Mar-06Mar-08Mar-10Mar-12Mar-14Mar-16Mar-18Tightening financial conditions
U.S. Recession Financial Conditions
Easy
Tight
4
-4.0
-2.0
0.0
2.0
4.0
6.0
8.0
10.0
Q1 1990Q3 1991Q1 1993Q3 1994Q1 1996Q3 1997Q1 1999Q3 2000Q1 2002Q3 2003Q1 2005Q3 2006Q1 2008Q3 2009Q1 2011Q3 2012Q1 2014Q3 2015Q1 2017Percent (Annual Rate)Average
Capital Markets Review
Economy
As of March 31, 2018
Trade tiff adds to volatility
Turbulence entered the markets during the first quarter as the reorganization of trade priorities
and agreements under the Trump administration came to the forefront.The initial salvo was a
tariff on steel and aluminum imports,which was then amended to exclude many countries not
named China.The underlying focus of the trade disputes is China’s trade barriers and bias
toward its domestic producers in sectors that are susceptible to foreign competition.NAFTA
renegotiations also have been ongoing,though in a tamer manner.These policy uncertainties
have led to increased volatility,especially across equity markets.
The Federal Reserve ushered in Jerome Powell as its new chairman.His manner is expected to
be more direct than past leaders,although policy direction is not expected to vary significantly
from expectations.The Fed Funds rate was raised by 25bps in March,with two more increases
of 25bps forecast through 2018.The economy continued to add jobs at a strong pace and wages
grew at the fastest pace since Q1 2011.If policy uncertainties remain escalated,job growth
could slow as businesses await stability to implement expansion plans,which can lead to a
weakening of economic factors.
Canadian and Mexican currencies moved in relation to potential tariff/trade realignments,while
others rose as investors moved out of the U.S.dollar and into other perceived to be undervalued.
Earnings forecasts have become more muddled,given the recent policy uncertainties,though
global growth is expected to remain strong.
Source: Bureau of Labor Statistics
-15.0
-10.0
-5.0
0.0
5.0
10.0
15.0
9/1/201710/1/201711/1/201712/1/20171/1/20182/1/20183/1/2018PercentPeso Yuan Pound
Yen Euro Canada
Currencies vs USD Productivity Gains
0
20
40
60
80
100
120
140
160
0
10
20
30
40
50
60
70
80
Imports ($ Billions)Exports ($ Billions)Q4 2017 Exports Q4 2017 Imports
Top Five U.S. Trading Partners
Source: Census Bureau
Source: Bloomberg
5
Capital Markets Review
Equities
As of March 31, 2018
Source: FactSet, S&P
Source: FactSet, MSCI
Growth and emerging markets continue to outperform
The S&P 500 Index returned -0.8%during the first quarter.Information Technology
and Consumer Discretionary were the only sectors with positive returns while
Telecom and Consumer Staples were the weakest sectors for the quarter,both down
more than -7%.
Developed market equity indices were down between -0.8%and -1.5%during the
first quarter,with the S&P 500 Index down the least at -0.8%.Emerging Market
equities were able to produce positive results,returning +1.4%,led by Brazil and
Taiwan.
The Growth style continued to outperform the Value style during the first quarter,
with the exception of Emerging Markets.Within the U.S.,Growth exhibited positive
returns while Value was negative.In International Developed markets,Growth was
negative but to a lesser extent than Value.Emerging Markets was the only segment to
experience positive results within Value,which slightly edged out Growth.U.S.
Large Cap Growth did not fare quite as well as U.S.Mid or Small Cap Growth.
Within the Value style,size was fairly inconsequential.
First Quarter S&P 500 Sector Returns
-7.5%
-7.1%
-5.9%
-5.5%
-5.0%
-3.3%
-1.6%
-1.2%
-1.0%
-0.8%
3.1%
3.5%
-10.0%-8.0%-6.0%-4.0%-2.0%0.0%2.0%4.0%6.0%
Telecom
Cons Staples
Energy
Materials
Real Estate
Utilities
Industrials
Healthcare
Financials
S&P 500
Cons Disc
Info Tech
-1.0%-0.8%-1.3%-1.2%-1.5%
1.4%1.8%
-0.5%
5.7%
-7.0%
-4.2%
12.4%
-10.0%
-5.0%
0.0%
5.0%
10.0%
15.0%
MSCI
ACWI
S&P
500
MSCI
World
MSCI
ACWI
x US
MSCI
EAFE
MSCI
EM
China South
Korea
Taiwan India South
Africa
Brazil
First Quarter World and Emerging Market Equity Returns
Growth Generally Outperformed Value During the First Quarter
-2.8%-2.5%-2.6%
-2.0%
1.6%1.4%
2.2%2.3%
-1.0%
1.2%
-4.0%
-2.0%
0.0%
2.0%
4.0%
U.S. Large Cap U.S. Mid Cap U.S. Small Cap Int'l Developed Emerging Mkts
Value Growth
Source: FactSet, MSCI, Russell
6
0.0%
0.5%
1.0%
1.5%
2.0%
2.5%
3.0%
3.5%
4.0%
0 5 10 15 20 25 30Yield to MaturityMaturity (Years)
3/31/2017 12/31/2017 3/29/2018
Source: Bloomberg Source: Federal Reserve Bank of St. LouisU.S. Treasury Yield Curve Change
Source: US Dept. of The Treasury
Duration –Adjusted Excess Returns to Treasuries (bps)
Curve Flattening Continues Decade-Long Trend
The Federal Reserve (“Fed”)raised rates 0.25%at the March FOMC meeting,setting the
Federal Funds Rate target at 1.50%to 1.75%.The bellwether 10-year U.S.Treasury nearly
reached 3.00%in mid-February as growth and inflation expectations increased,but retraced
back to 2.74%by quarter-end amid a flight-to-quality.Yields moved higher across the
entire maturity spectrum and the curve continued its flattening trend.Most spread sectors
lagged Treasuries and generated negative total returns as rates rose and spreads widened.
TIPS (-0.79%)outperformed nominal Treasuries (-1.19%)as breakeven inflation levels
increased.
Investment-grade corporate spreads widened 16 basis points,underperforming other spread
sectors during the quarter.Technical pressure was a headwind due to waning demand amid
increased currency hedging costs for foreign investors.High yield (-0.86%)outpaced
investment-grade (-2.32%)corporates,benefitting from the higher carry and lower duration
sensitivity.Bank loans provided attractive absolute returns (+1.44%),driven by rising
LIBOR rates and strong investor demand.
Structured products generally outpaced investment-grade credit due to lower spread
volatility and insulation from the political trade rhetoric.Agency MBS (-1.19%)spreads
widened a modest four basis points as the sector faces demand concerns given the pace of
the Fed’s balance sheet wind-down.ABS (-0.39%)provided some stability versus longer
duration sectors,yet still trailed Treasuries on a duration-adjusted basis.
Local currency emerging market debt (+4.44%)outpaced all fixed income segments during
the quarter,driven by strong growth prospects,stable commodity prices,and a weaker U.S.
Dollar.
-1.00
-0.50
0.00
0.50
1.00
1.50
2.00
2.50
3.00
Mar-90Mar-92Mar-94Mar-96Mar-98Mar-00Mar-02Mar-04Mar-06Mar-08Mar-10Mar-12Mar-14Mar-16Mar-18PercentDashes represent the end of prior hiking cycles
Best Period Second Best Period Worst Period Second Worst Period
2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 1Q18
Aggregate -114 226 93 10 -53 138 121 -31
Agency -25 166 1 10 -133 121 148 6
MBS -106 91 98 40 -5 -11 52 -39
ABS 52 246 24 53 44 95 92 -19
CMBS 47 841 97 108 -28 236 158 -7
Credit -322 693 226 -18 -169 442 335 -68
High Yield -240 1394 923 -112 -577 1573 610 -17
EMD (USD)-537 1503 -32 -120 3 880 627 -26
Fixed Income
As of March 31, 2018
Capital Markets Review
2 vs. 10 Year Treasury Curve Slope
7
-2.0%
-1.0%
0.0%
1.0%
2.0%
3.0%
4.0%
5.0%
6.0%
7.0%
12/31/2017 1/31/2018 2/28/2018
Longs - S&P 500 (Long Alpha)S&P 500 - Shorts (Short Alpha)
Longs - Shorts
Capital Markets Review
Alternative Investments
As of March 31, 2018
Goldman Sachs Hedge Fund VIP Stocks –Longs/Shorts vs. S&P 500 (2018 Q1)
Sources: Bloomberg, Goldman Sachs
-0.8%-0.9%
-2.6%
0.6%
-1.5%-0.9%
2.3%
1.1%0.5%
-1.1%
0.1%
-0.7%
-5%
0%
5%
Domestic/global stocks sold off, but
long/short equity hedge funds gained. Put-
write strategies sold off significantly.
Relative value fixed income and distressed managers
posted modest gains, while duration hurt traditional
global/domestic bond performance.
A 60/40 portfolio posted losses,
while the hedge fund composite
gained modestly. Macro strategies
declined less than stocks/bonds.
*Asset-weighted is used instead of fund-weighted,
as it is available and more indicative of the universe.Sources: Hedge Fund Research, FactSet
Hedge Funds vs Long-Only: Total Returns 2018 Q1
Global alternatives rise with risk assets
Hedge Funds:Hedge funds generated strong alpha during the quarter across nearly all strategies,
illustrating the less-correlated nature of the return sources for these strategies.Equity long-short
funds generated alpha both from long positions and short positions.Funds with long-biased
exposures to growth equities,emerging markets, and the technology and healthcare sectors
outperformed those without these exposures. Credit-oriented funds significantly outperformed IG
and HY bonds due to a lack of duration,tactical hedging,and process-driven alpha.Structured
product hedge funds were some of the strongest performers during the quarter. A robust financing
environment and record amount of large announced acquisitions drove gains in merger arbitrage.
Other diversified relative value strategies such as volatility arbitrage benefited from broad market
dispersion.While volatility is generally good for macro strategies, performance was mixed across
sub-strategies.Many discretionary macro managers profited from short interest rate and USD
positions while CTAs suffered from the sharp trend reversal in equity markets.
Real Assets:Higher-yielding liquid real assets struggled during the first quarter,with listed
infrastructure down –5.5%and REITs down -6.7%.For listed infrastructure,the expectation of
rising interest rates weighed on some subsectors such as water,which has longer-term fixed
contractual agreements.Other listed infrastructure subsectors are expected to perform well in a
rising interest rate environment as long as economic growth also improves.These subsectors,like
toll roads,airports,and communication,often have explicit revenue escalators that benefit from
cyclical upswings.
Private Capital Markets: In 2017,921 private equity funds reached a final close ,securing over
$453 billion in committed capital,which represents the largest amount of capital ever raised in
any single year.2017 was the second consecutive year in which annual fundraising surpassed
$400 billion,an event that has only occurred once before (2007/2008).The private equity asset
class accounted for 60%of all private capital raised in 2017,representing an increase from 57%
in 2016.While H2 2017 distribution numbers are yet to be finalized,$233 billion was distributed
to LPs in H1 2017,leaving reason to believe that 2017 will fall short of the $520 billion
distributed to LPs in 2016.
2.4
2.6
2.8
3
3.2
3.4
3.6
3.8
4
85
90
95
100
105
110
12/31/2017 1/21/2018 2/11/2018 3/4/2018 3/25/2018 U.S. 10 Year Treasury YieldCumulative QuarterlyPerformance %Infrastructure Sector Performance and Rates
U.S. 10 Year Treasury Airports Communications Toll Roads Water
The yield on the 10-year Treasury began the year
at 2.41% and rose to almost 3.00% in mid-
February before ending the quarter at 2.74%,
which weighed on utilities.
Source: Bloomberg Barclays
8
Quarter
Calendar
YTD
1
Year
2
Years
3
Years
5
Years
10
Years
Equity Markets
Broad Global Equity MSCI All Country World IMI -0.9 -0.9 15.0 15.2 8.3 9.3 5.9
Broad U.S. Equity Dow Jones Industrial Average -2.0 -2.0 19.4 19.6 13.5 13.3 9.8
Broad U.S. Equity Russell 3000 Index -0.6 -0.6 13.8 15.9 10.2 13.0 9.6
Technology Equity NASDAQ Index 2.6 2.6 20.8 21.8 14.3 18.1 13.2
U.S. Large Cap Equity S&P 500 Index -0.8 -0.8 14.0 15.6 10.8 13.3 9.5
U.S. Large Cap Equity Russell 1000 Index -0.7 -0.7 14.0 15.7 10.4 13.2 9.6
U.S. Large Value Equity Russell 1000 Value Index -2.8 -2.8 6.9 12.9 7.9 10.8 7.8
U.S. Large Growth Equity Russell 1000 Growth Index 1.4 1.4 21.3 18.5 12.9 15.5 11.3
U.S. Mid Cap Equity Russell Mid Cap Index -0.5 -0.5 12.2 14.6 8.0 12.1 10.2
U.S. Mid Cap Value Equity Russell Mid Cap Value Index -2.5 -2.5 6.5 13.0 7.2 11.1 9.8
U.S. Mid Cap Growth Equity Russell Mid Cap Growth Index 2.2 2.2 19.7 16.9 9.2 13.3 10.6
U.S. Small Cap Equity Russell 2000 Index -0.1 -0.1 11.8 18.8 8.4 11.5 9.8
U.S. Small Cap Value Equity Russell 2000 Value Index -2.6 -2.6 5.1 16.6 7.9 10.0 8.6
U.S. Small Cap Growth Equity Russell 2000 Growth Index 2.3 2.3 18.6 20.8 8.8 12.9 11.0
International Equity MSCI EAFE Index -1.5 -1.5 14.8 13.2 5.6 6.5 2.7
International Equity MSCI EAFE Index (Hedged)-4.4 -4.4 4.3 9.8 1.5 6.0 2.1
International Equity MSCI ACWI ex-U.S. Index (inc. Emerging Mkts)-1.2 -1.2 16.5 14.8 6.2 5.9 2.7
International Value Equity MSCI ACWI ex-U.S. Value Index -1.5 -1.5 13.3 15.0 5.0 4.9 2.1
International Growth Equity MSCI ACWI ex-U.S. Growth Index -0.9 -0.9 19.9 14.7 7.3 6.8 3.3
International Small Cap S&P Developed ex-U.S. Small Cap Index -1.2 -1.2 21.0 15.8 10.8 10.0 5.4
Emerging Markets MSCI Emerging Markets Index 1.4 1.4 24.9 21.0 8.8 5.0 3.0
Bond Markets
Core Plus Bond Bloomberg Barclays Aggregate Bond Index -1.5 -1.5 1.2 0.8 1.2 1.8 3.6
Global Bonds Bloomberg Barclays Global Aggregate Index 1.4 1.4 7.0 2.4 3.1 1.5 2.6
Total Bond Market Bloomberg Barclays Universal Bond Index -1.4 -1.4 1.5 1.7 1.7 2.2 4.0
Long Duration Bonds Bloomberg Barclays Long Credit Index -3.8 -3.8 6.2 5.5 3.3 4.7 7.5
Short-Duration Bonds BofA Merrill Lynch U.S. Treasury (1-3 Year)-0.1 -0.1 0.0 0.1 0.4 0.5 1.1
Global Bonds Citigroup-WGBI ex-U.S. Index (Unhedged)4.4 4.4 12.9 3.7 5.0 1.4 1.8
Global Bonds Citigroup-WGBI ex-U.S. Index (Hedged)1.5 1.5 4.0 2.3 2.6 4.0 4.1
Treasury Inflation Protection Bloomberg Barclays 1-10 Year TIPS Index -0.4 -0.4 0.4 0.9 1.2 -0.1 2.2
Municipal Bonds Bloomberg Barclays Municipal Bond Index -1.1 -1.1 2.7 1.4 2.3 2.7 4.4
Cash 91-Day T-Bills Index 0.3 0.3 1.1 0.7 0.5 0.3 0.3
Alternatives
Commodities Bloomberg Commodity Index -0.4 -0.4 3.7 6.2 -3.2 -8.3 -7.7
U.S. Public Real Estate FTSE NAREIT All Equity REIT Index -6.7 -6.7 -1.1 2.0 2.9 6.7 6.9
Global Listed Infrastructure DJ Brookfield Global Infrastructure Comp. Index -6.2 -6.2 -1.4 5.8 0.9 4.7 7.3
Diversified Hedge Funds HFRI FoF Conservative Index 0.6 0.6 3.4 4.4 1.7 3.0 1.3
Long/Short Equity HFRI Equity Hedge Index 0.4 0.4 9.5 10.5 5.2 5.7 3.9
Inflation
Inflation CPI 1.2 1.2 2.4 2.4 1.9 1.4 1.6
Returns for periods greater than one year are annualized.
Capital Markets Review
Index Returns
As of March 31, 2018
9
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